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Q4 2019: Quarterly Review & 2020 Market Outlook

2020 is here and the late-cycle rhetoric of the herd has only grown louder. What’s an investor to do? Should...

Stocks retreat from record highs, end week slightly lower

The Big NumberThe spread in the yield of CCC-rated high yield bonds over the equivalent U.S. treasury interest rate. What...

Stocks at record levels on positive “mood music” around trade talks

The Big NumberThe current measure of retail investor sentiment as tracked by a weekly survey conducted by the American Association...

Stocks post fifth positive week in a row

The Big NumberThe exchange rate of the Chinese Yuan against the U.S. dollar as set by the People’s Bank of...

Q3 2019: Quarterly Review

A shorter and more volatile news cycle will likely continue to whipsaw markets and investors’ emotions. What are the issues...

Muted inflation expectations may lead to further rate cuts

The Big NumberThe expected change in prices (inflation) during the next 5-10 years, as compiled by the University of Michigan....

A volatile week for markets as impeachment, GDP dominate headlines

The Big NumberThe number of quarters since the prior peak in real U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Market NotesWhile the...

U.S. Politics Takes Center Stage for the Week

The Big NumberThe current chance that Elizabeth Warren will win the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination, according to PredictIt. Market NotesU.S....

Central banks continue to ease as global economy slows

The Big NumberGlobal central bank easing since the start of the year based on the cumulative actions of 33 major...

Value stocks outperform momentum as markets continue cyclical rally

The Big Number The relative performance of the market-neutral Dow Jones Momentum (DJTMNMO) and Value (DJTMNSV) indices since the start of...

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